SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Chad had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Chad |
60.91% ( -0.03) | 24.15% ( 0.01) | 14.94% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.47% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.85% ( 0.02) | 59.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.41% ( 0.01) | 79.58% ( -0.02) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.71% ( -0.01) | 19.29% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.97% ( -0.01) | 51.03% ( 0.01) |
| Chad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.9% ( 0.05) | 51.1% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.59% ( 0.03) | 85.41% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zambia | Draw | Chad |
| 1-0 @ 16.21% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 60.89% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 14.94% |
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