SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 78.68%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Chad had a probability of 4.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-2 with a probability of 19.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (18.43%) and 0-3 (13.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.85%), while for a Chad win it was 1-0 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 19.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.
| Result | ||
| Chad | Draw | Ivory Coast |
4.96% ( 0.31) | 16.36% ( 0.16) | 78.68% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 25.33% ( 1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.67% ( 0.59) | 56.33% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.64% ( 0.48) | 77.36% ( -0.47) |
| Chad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 28.94% ( 1.42) | 71.07% ( -1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 4.66% ( 0.48) | 95.34% ( -0.47) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.55% ( 0.04) | 12.46% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.6% ( 0.07) | 38.4% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chad | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 1-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.86% Total : 4.96% | 0-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.2) 1-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.09% Total : 16.36% | 0-2 @ 19.2% ( -0.38) 0-1 @ 18.43% ( -0.4)0-3 @ 13.33% ( -0.25)0-4 @ 6.94% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.18)0-5 @ 2.89% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.1)0-6 @ 1% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.39% Total : 78.66% |
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