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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
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Gibraltar
0 - 3
Turkey


Brito (3'), De Barr (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dervisoglu (54'), Calhanoglu (65'), Karaman (83')
Kokcu (17')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 57.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
GibraltarDrawTurkey
17.75%24.8%57.44%
Both teams to score 42.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.5%57.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.71%78.29%
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.67%46.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.02%81.97%
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02%19.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.85%52.15%
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 17.75%
    Turkey 57.43%
    Draw 24.8%
GibraltarDrawTurkey
1-0 @ 7.12%
2-1 @ 4.41%
2-0 @ 2.74%
3-1 @ 1.13%
3-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 17.75%
1-1 @ 11.46%
0-0 @ 9.25%
2-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 14.9%
0-2 @ 12%
1-2 @ 9.24%
0-3 @ 6.45%
1-3 @ 4.96%
0-4 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 57.43%

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