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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 1, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
GN

Latvia
3 - 1
Gibraltar

Gutkovskis (50' pen., 85'), Cigaņiks (89')
Cernomordijs (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Barr (71' pen.)
Bosio (6'), Annesley (38'), Luis Chipolina (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 47.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 26.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.

Result
LatviaDrawGibraltar
47.47%26.39%26.15%
Both teams to score 48.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74%55.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.51%76.49%
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71%23.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77%57.23%
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.53%36.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.74%73.26%
Score Analysis
    Latvia 47.46%
    Gibraltar 26.15%
    Draw 26.38%
LatviaDrawGibraltar
1-0 @ 12.37%
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-0 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 47.46%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 8.57%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 4.32%
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 26.15%

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