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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 15, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Azadi Stadium, Tehran
IN

Iran
1 - 0
Iraq

Azmoun (35')
Nourollahi (9'), Jahanbakhsh (41'), Moharrami (53'), Azmoun (77'), Taremi (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tariq (12'), Natiq (47')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iran in this match.

Result
IranDrawIraq
55.8%23.3%20.89%
Both teams to score 52.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16%47.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97%70.02%
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02%16.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.93%47.07%
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.8%37.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.02%73.98%
Score Analysis
    Iran 55.8%
    Iraq 20.89%
    Draw 23.3%
IranDrawIraq
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-2 @ 2.87%
4-0 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 2.57%
4-2 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 0.92%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 55.8%
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.24%
1-2 @ 5.48%
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 20.89%

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