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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 11, 2021 at 8pm UK
 
EN

Libya
0 - 3
Egypt


Sabbou (67'), Al Badri (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aboel Fettoh (40'), Mohamed (45+4'), Sobhi (72')
Tawfik (52'), Hamdi (74'), Aboel Fettoh (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Libya had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Libya win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
LibyaDrawEgypt
32.45%23.75%43.8%
Both teams to score 61.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.33%40.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94%63.05%
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5%24.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.04%58.96%
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.14%18.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67%50.32%
Score Analysis
    Libya 32.45%
    Egypt 43.8%
    Draw 23.75%
LibyaDrawEgypt
2-1 @ 7.62%
1-0 @ 6.5%
2-0 @ 4.57%
3-1 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.45%
1-1 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 6.36%
0-0 @ 4.62%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-1 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 6.43%
1-3 @ 5.03%
0-3 @ 3.58%
2-3 @ 3.54%
1-4 @ 2.1%
0-4 @ 1.49%
2-4 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 43.8%

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