Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 70.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 9.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.82%) and 0-3 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.