European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 15, 2021 at 8pm UK

Allianz Arena

France
1 - 0
Germany

Hummels (20' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kimmich (7')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 43%. A win for France had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.3%) and 1-3 (5.28%). The likeliest France win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
France	Draw	Germany
35.07%	21.94%	43%

Both teams to score 69.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.2%

30.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.85%

52.15%

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.51%

18.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.29%

49.71%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.79%

15.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.14%

43.87%

Score Analysis

France 35.07%

Germany 43%

Draw 21.94%

France	Draw	Germany
2-1 @ 7.55% 1-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 4.25% 2-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 4% 3-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.69% 4-3 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.07%	1-1 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 7.1% 0-0 @ 2.81% 3-3 @ 2.51% Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.94%	1-2 @ 8.42% 0-1 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 5.28% 0-2 @ 4.99% 2-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 2.49% 2-4 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.47% 3-4 @ 1.18% 1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.24% Total : 43%