Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for England had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.53%) and 1-3 (5.13%). The likeliest England win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
