European Championship | Round of 16

Jun 29, 2021 at 5pm UK

Aviva Stadium

England
2 - 0
Germany

Sterling (75'), Kane (86')
Rice (8'), Phillips (45'), Maguire (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ginter (25'), Gosens (72')

Glenn Hoddle: 'Harry Kane will drag England over the line'

Harry Kane: 'We must maintain momentum'

Five Ukraine players who could harm England

A look at England's five previous competitive meetings with Ukraine

Gareth Southgate: 'We can do something really special'

A look at how Raheem Sterling became Gareth Southgate's star player

David Seaman hails Gareth Southgate's tactics

Kieran Trippier: 'We were fearless against Germany'

Gareth Southgate hails "immense" England players

Gareth Southgate labels England players "immense" in Germany win

Harry Maguire delighted to put smiles on faces of England fans

Harry Kane hails "the perfect afternoon" as England progress at Euro 2020

Gareth Southgate prepared to play the "party-pooper" despite Germany win

Jack Grealish vows to pay England fans back with goals and assists

Jurgen Klinsmann: 'The Euros is England's to lose'

Declan Rice: 'England have created a piece of history'

Raheem Sterling: 'Germany win is a special moment'

Five things we learned from England's win over Germany

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for England had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.53%) and 1-3 (5.13%). The likeliest England win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
England	Draw	Germany
37.01%	19.38%	43.61%

Both teams to score 79.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

82.52%

17.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

65.59%

34.42%

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.4%

11.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.41%

36.59%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.32%

9.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.71%

32.29%

Score Analysis

England 37.01%

Germany 43.61%

Draw 19.38%

England	Draw	Germany
2-1 @ 6.09% 3-2 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 4.37% 4-2 @ 2.75% 2-0 @ 2.61% 1-0 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-3 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.87% 5-2 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 1.01% 5-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.19% Total : 37.01%	2-2 @ 7.1% 1-1 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 3.97% 4-4 @ 1.25% 0-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.38%	1-2 @ 6.6% 2-3 @ 5.53% 1-3 @ 5.13% 2-4 @ 3.23% 0-2 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 3% 0-1 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.38% 3-4 @ 2.32% 2-5 @ 1.51% 1-5 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.39% 3-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 4.37% Total : 43.61%