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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
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Luxembourg
0 - 1
Serbia


Barreiro (1'), Carlson (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vlahovic (68')
Pavlovic (22'), Duricic (45+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Serbia in this match.

Result
LuxembourgDrawSerbia
21.22%26.48%52.3%
Both teams to score 43.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.58%59.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.21%79.8%
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.51%43.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.3%79.71%
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11%22.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36%56.64%
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 21.22%
    Serbia 52.3%
    Draw 26.48%
LuxembourgDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 8.29%
2-1 @ 5.09%
2-0 @ 3.45%
3-1 @ 1.41%
3-2 @ 1.04%
3-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 21.22%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 9.96%
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 14.68%
0-2 @ 10.82%
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-3 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 4.43%
0-4 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 52.3%

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