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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Josy Barthel
PN

Luxembourg
1 - 3
Portugal

Rodrigues (30')
Chanot (20')
Chanot (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jota (45+2'), Ronaldo (51'), Palhinha (80')
Jota (39'), Dias (70'), Sanches (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 9.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.49%) and 0-3 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.03%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
LuxembourgDrawPortugal
9.6%22.14%68.26%
Both teams to score 31.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.84%62.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.15%81.85%
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.81%62.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.27%91.73%
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26%17.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58%48.42%
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 9.6%
    Portugal 68.25%
    Draw 22.14%
LuxembourgDrawPortugal
1-0 @ 5.24%
2-1 @ 2.15%
2-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 9.6%
0-0 @ 11.03%
1-1 @ 9.06%
2-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.14%
0-1 @ 19.07%
0-2 @ 16.49%
0-3 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 7.84%
1-3 @ 4.52%
0-4 @ 4.11%
1-4 @ 1.95%
0-5 @ 1.42%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 68.25%

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