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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 4, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
LN

Serbia
4 - 1
Luxembourg

Mitrovic (22', 35'), Chanot (81' og.), Milenkovic (90+6')
Tadic (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Thill (77')
Martins Pereira (34'), Rodrigues (79')
Rodrigues (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
SerbiaDrawLuxembourg
49.1%25.68%25.22%
Both teams to score 50%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78%53.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22%74.78%
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3%21.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16%54.84%
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85%36.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06%72.93%
Score Analysis
    Serbia 49.1%
    Luxembourg 25.22%
    Draw 25.68%
SerbiaDrawLuxembourg
1-0 @ 11.98%
2-1 @ 9.32%
2-0 @ 9.16%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 49.1%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.84%
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 25.22%

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