SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 25.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Serbia | Draw | Luxembourg |
| 49.1% | 25.68% | 25.22% |
| Both teams to score 50% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.78% | 53.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.22% | 74.78% |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% | 21.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.16% | 54.84% |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% | 36.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.06% | 72.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Serbia | Draw | Luxembourg |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.3% Total : 49.1% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.22% |
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