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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 10, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
CD

Madagascar
1 - 0
Congo DR

Njiva Rakotoharimalala (1')
Njiva Rakotoharimalala (32'), Boyer (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Congo DR had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 2-1 (7.41%). The likeliest Congo DR win was 0-1 (12.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Madagascar in this match.

Result
MadagascarDrawCongo DR
37.9%30%32.1%
Both teams to score 41.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.69%65.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.9%84.1%
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72%33.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1%69.9%
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74%37.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95%74.05%
Score Analysis
    Madagascar 37.9%
    Congo DR 32.09%
    Draw 29.99%
MadagascarDrawCongo DR
1-0 @ 13.64%
2-0 @ 7.51%
2-1 @ 7.41%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.9%
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 12.4%
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.99%
0-1 @ 12.24%
1-2 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 6.04%
1-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 32.09%

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