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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
 
MN

Congo DR
2 - 0
Madagascar

Akolo (35'), Mbokani (80' pen.)
Mbokani (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.

Result
Congo DRDrawMadagascar
42.69%27.84%29.46%
Both teams to score 46.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.12%58.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.62%79.38%
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71%27.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27%62.73%
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25%35.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.47%72.52%
Score Analysis
    Congo DR 42.69%
    Madagascar 29.46%
    Draw 27.84%
Congo DRDrawMadagascar
1-0 @ 12.67%
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 42.69%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.76%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.84%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2%
Total : 29.46%

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