Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Nepal had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.43%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Nepal win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.
