Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
