Peru
0 - 3
Colombia

Trauco (34'), Corzo (37'), Guerrero (57'), Lapadula (71')
Trauco (45')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mina (40'), Uribe (49'), Diaz (55')
Medina (19'), Ospina (59'), Cuellar (74')
Munoz (59')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Peru had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Peru win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
Peru	Draw	Colombia
31.36%	23.52%	45.12%

Both teams to score 61.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.94%

40.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.58%

62.42%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14%

24.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.54%

59.46%

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.93%

18.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.01%

48.99%

Score Analysis

Peru 31.36%

Colombia 45.12%

Draw 23.51%

Peru	Draw	Colombia
2-1 @ 7.45% 1-0 @ 6.25% 2-0 @ 4.35% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.36%	1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.49% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.51%	1-2 @ 9.15% 0-1 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 6.57% 1-3 @ 5.22% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 3.63% 1-4 @ 2.23% 0-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.72% Total : 45.12%