Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Peru had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Peru win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
