SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Peru had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Peru win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Colombia |
| 31.36% | 23.52% | 45.12% |
| Both teams to score 61.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.94% | 40.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.58% | 62.42% |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% | 24.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.54% | 59.46% |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% | 18.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.01% | 48.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | Colombia |
| 2-1 @ 7.45% 1-0 @ 6.25% 2-0 @ 4.35% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.36% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.49% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-1 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 6.57% 1-3 @ 5.22% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 3.63% 1-4 @ 2.23% 0-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.72% Total : 45.12% |
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