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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2020 at 12.30am UK
 
AN

Peru
0 - 2
Argentina


Aquino (29'), Trauco (34'), Gallese (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gonzalez (17'), Martinez (28')
Otamendi (60'), Lo Celso (73'), Ocampos (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Peru had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
PeruDrawArgentina
19.31%21.79%58.89%
Both teams to score 54.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53%43.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14%65.86%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68%36.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9%73.1%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57%14.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.65%42.35%
Score Analysis
    Peru 19.32%
    Argentina 58.89%
    Draw 21.79%
PeruDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 5.31%
2-1 @ 5.2%
2-0 @ 2.69%
3-1 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 19.32%
1-1 @ 10.27%
0-0 @ 5.24%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 10.14%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-2 @ 9.82%
1-3 @ 6.42%
0-3 @ 6.34%
2-3 @ 3.25%
1-4 @ 3.11%
0-4 @ 3.07%
2-4 @ 1.57%
1-5 @ 1.2%
0-5 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 58.89%


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