Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Armenia win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Romania in this match.