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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
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Germany
2 - 1
Romania

Gnabry (52'), Muller (81')
Kehrer (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hagi (9')
Stanciu (41'), Ratiu (59'), Puscas (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 66%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Romania had a probability of 11.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.59%) and 3-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.9%), while for a Romania win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
GermanyDrawRomania
66%22.96%11.04%
Both teams to score 33.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.15%61.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.37%81.63%
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.56%18.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.39%49.61%
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.83%59.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.78%90.22%
Score Analysis
    Germany 65.99%
    Romania 11.04%
    Draw 22.95%
GermanyDrawRomania
1-0 @ 18.44%
2-0 @ 15.59%
3-0 @ 8.79%
2-1 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 4.61%
4-0 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 1.95%
5-0 @ 1.26%
3-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 65.99%
0-0 @ 10.9%
1-1 @ 9.68%
2-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 5.72%
1-2 @ 2.54%
0-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 11.04%

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