Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 9.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.92%) and 3-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.36%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.