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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 31, 2021 at 5pm UK
Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
RN

Armenia
3 - 2
Romania

Spertsyan (56'), Haroyan (87'), Barseghyan (89' pen.)
Barseghyan (22'), Bayramyan (27'), Haroyan (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cicaldau (62', 72')
Mogos (24'), Puscas (41'), Maxim (59'), Bancu (66')
Puscas (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Armenia win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
ArmeniaDrawRomania
35.29%24.73%39.98%
Both teams to score 58.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.44%44.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.08%66.92%
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3%24.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76%59.24%
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76%22.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.33%55.67%
Score Analysis
    Armenia 35.29%
    Romania 39.98%
    Draw 24.72%
ArmeniaDrawRomania
2-1 @ 8.07%
1-0 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 35.29%
1-1 @ 11.54%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-1 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 6.21%
1-3 @ 4.35%
0-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 3.04%
1-4 @ 1.64%
0-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.98%

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