Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Armenia win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
