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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 11, 2021 at 4pm UK
 
MN

Rwanda
0 - 3
Mali


Imanishimwe (72')
Bizimana (7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Djenepo (19'), Kone (21'), Coulibaly (87')
Kone (48'), Camara (70'), Coulibaly (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Rwanda had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Rwanda win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
RwandaDrawMali
35.33%28.28%36.4%
Both teams to score 46.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.71%59.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.31%79.69%
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18%31.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74%68.26%
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86%31.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53%67.47%
Score Analysis
    Rwanda 35.32%
    Mali 36.4%
    Draw 28.27%
RwandaDrawMali
1-0 @ 11.34%
2-1 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.32%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 11.56%
1-2 @ 7.72%
0-2 @ 6.74%
1-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 36.4%

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