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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 7, 2021 at 6pm UK
 
JN

Saudi Arabia
1 - 0
Japan

Albirakan (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawJapan
46.63%22.42%30.95%
Both teams to score 65.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.09%34.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.11%56.89%
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5%15.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.61%44.39%
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41%22.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8%56.2%
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 46.63%
    Japan 30.95%
    Draw 22.42%
Saudi ArabiaDrawJapan
2-1 @ 9.05%
1-0 @ 6.53%
2-0 @ 6.09%
3-1 @ 5.63%
3-2 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 3.78%
4-1 @ 2.62%
4-2 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 0.98%
4-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 46.63%
1-1 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.5%
3-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-1 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 3.58%
2-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 30.95%

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