Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
