Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Uganda | Draw | Kenya |
44.65% | 27.04% | 28.3% |
Both teams to score 48.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.51% | 56.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.52% | 77.48% |
Uganda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.82% | 25.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.1% | 59.9% |
Kenya Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.63% | 35.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.87% | 72.12% |
Score Analysis |
Uganda | Draw | Kenya |
1-0 @ 12.28% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 4.81% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.06% Total : 28.3% |
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