Uruguay
0 - 0
Paraguay

Vecino (26'), Bentancur (45+1'), Valverde (55')

Alderete (73')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Uruguay	Draw	Paraguay
50.04%	24.69%	25.27%

Both teams to score 53.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.81%

49.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.74%

71.25%

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.32%

19.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.34%

51.66%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.08%

33.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.41%

70.59%

Score Analysis

Uruguay 50.04%

Paraguay 25.27%

Draw 24.68%

Uruguay	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 5.17% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.91% Total : 50.04%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.22% 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.27%