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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
SL

Bristol City
3 - 1
Southampton

Bell (52'), Dickie (72'), Cornick (82')
Vyner (65'), Williams (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armstrong (90+5' pen.)
Fraser (90+2'), Deen Sulemana (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Southampton

Southampton will be eyeing their 20th Championship win of the campaign on Tuesday evening, but it will be tough against a solid Bristol City outfit. It would not be a surprise to see the points shared in this match, but we just have a feeling that the Saints will shade it to secure a vital three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Bristol City win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSouthampton
19.64% (-0.206 -0.21) 21.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 58.99% (0.188 0.19)
Both teams to score 56.54% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (-0.386 -0.39)41.04% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.57% (-0.396 -0.4)63.43% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44% (-0.42999999999999 -0.43)34.56% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (-0.461 -0.46)71.28% (0.462 0.46)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)13.59% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.27% (-0.138 -0.14)40.73% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 19.64%
    Southampton 58.99%
    Draw 21.36%
Bristol CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 5.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.99% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.64%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 9.36% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 6.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.22% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.1% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 58.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Bristol City
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Bristol City (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Leeds
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Friday, January 26 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Watford
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 5-3 Huddersfield
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Watford
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Southampton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Southampton
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Southampton
Saturday, January 20 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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