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Saturday, April 27
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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
SL

Rotherham
0 - 2
Southampton

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bednarek (4'), Armstrong (38')
Downes (57'), Armstrong (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rotherham United 0-2 Southampton

Rotherham United have certainly showed signs of improvement in recent weeks and can be resilient, but we see Saturday's visitors being too strong and can only envisage the Saints outclassing Richardson's side and returning to the south coast with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 68.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 13.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawSouthampton
13.28% (-0.194 -0.19) 18.38% (0.122 0.12) 68.34% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.46% (-1.032 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.62% (-1.061 -1.06)39.37% (1.057 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.28% (-1.116 -1.12)61.71% (1.113 1.11)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.63% (-0.971 -0.97)41.37% (0.967 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.11% (-0.869 -0.87)77.89% (0.86499999999999 0.86)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.48% (-0.277 -0.28)10.52% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.79% (-0.622 -0.62)34.21% (0.619 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 13.28%
    Southampton 68.33%
    Draw 18.38%
Rotherham UnitedDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 3.84% (0.089 0.09)
2-1 @ 3.82% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.12% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.28%
1-1 @ 8.65% (0.102 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.212 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.38%
0-2 @ 11.03% (0.29 0.29)
0-1 @ 9.8% (0.368 0.37)
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 8.28% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 7.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-4 @ 4.66% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-4 @ 4.12% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-5 @ 2.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.85% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 68.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Fulham 1-0 Rotherham
Friday, January 5 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Rotherham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Sunderland
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Southampton
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Southampton
Saturday, January 20 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Walsall
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Southampton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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