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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
NL

Millwall
1 - 0
Norwich

Bradshaw (18')
Cooper (61'), Honeyman (81'), Watmore (90+1'), Leonard (90+2')
Saville (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barnes (60'), McLean (75'), Sargent (81'), Idah (90+3'), Nunez (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 2-0 QPR
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Norwich City

Millwall will bring a three-game unbeaten run into this match, while Norwich suffered a defeat last time out, but we are expecting the away side to triumph here considering their quality in the forward positions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawNorwich City
43.72% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 26.21% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 30.08% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.83% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (0.055 0.05)52.48% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (0.047000000000001 0.05)74.15% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.040000000000006 0.04)23.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (0.055 0.05)58.05% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (0.018999999999991 0.02)31.92% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (0.021999999999998 0.02)68.37% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 43.72%
    Norwich City 30.08%
    Draw 26.2%
MillwallDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 43.72%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 QPR
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 3-2 Millwall
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, December 16 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Preston
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Norwich
Sunday, December 3 at 1.30pm in Championship


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