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Saturday, April 27
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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
PN

Millwall
1 - 1
Preston

Flemming (5')
Honeyman (51'), Obafemi (90+1'), Flemming (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Potts (33')
Storey (56'), Ledson (70'), Woodman (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 2-0 Millwall
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-1 Preston North End

With both teams being consistently inconsistent, any result feels possible at The Den on Saturday. While the visitors would have taken confidence from their showing at Elland Road, we feel that Millwall will do enough to earn maximum points in a tight contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawPreston North End
50.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 25.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.16% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.71% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)54.4% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)75.77% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)21.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.058 -0.06)54.94% (0.061 0.06)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (0.0019999999999953 0)37.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.52% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 50.07%
    Preston North End 24.16%
    Draw 25.77%
MillwallDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 12.52%
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 50.07%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 24.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: QPR 2-0 Millwall
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Leicester
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Millwall
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Norwich
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 QPR
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Preston
Sunday, January 21 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Chelsea 4-0 Preston
Saturday, January 6 at 5.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Preston
Monday, January 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-1 Sheff Weds
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Leeds
Tuesday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Championship


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