While Watford have been resilient for the most part under Tom Cleverley, they meet a Hull City side knowing only a victory is sufficient for their playoff bid and with renewed confidence from a dominant victory last time out, and given the difference in stakes for both sides, we back the visitors to take all three points from a tight contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
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