SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.29%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Union Berlin |
71.84% ( -0.23) | 16.16% ( 0.11) | 12% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.91% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.2% ( -0.26) | 31.79% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.68% ( -0.31) | 53.32% ( 0.31) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.23% ( -0.11) | 7.76% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.4% ( -0.28) | 27.6% ( 0.28) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.7% ( 0) | 38.29% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.95% | 75.05% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.6% Total : 71.84% | 1-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.16% | 1-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 12% |
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