Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Toluca
47.76% ( -0.72)	23.47% ( 0.55)	28.77% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 60.11% (

-1.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73% (

-2.47)

41.27% (

2.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.33% (

-2.55)

63.67% (

2.55)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.49% (

-1.21)

17.51% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.98% (

-2.15)

48.02% (

2.15)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.87% (

-1.13)

27.13% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.48% (

-1.5)

62.52% (

1.5)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 47.76%

Toluca 28.77%

Draw 23.47%

Pachuca	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.89% Total : 47.76%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.47%	1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 3% Total : 28.77%