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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
PL

Marseille
0 - 2
PSG

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vitinha (53'), Ramos (85')
Beraldo (15'), Hernandez (38'), Pereira (40'), Donnarumma (45')
Beraldo (40')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Marseille 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Suffering cruel blow after cruel blow when it comes to the availability of their defenders, Marseille's remarkable run at the Orange Velodrome appears destined to come to an end against the runaway leaders, even if the international break allowed Gasset and co the chance to reset and dissect. A well-stocked midfield and attack can still ask questions of PSG's own ravaged backline, but Enrique's attackers will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing their injury-hit Classique foes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
36.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.83% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 39.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 62.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.95% (0.020000000000003 0.02)40.05% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.58% (0.022000000000006 0.02)62.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.23% (0.012 0.01)21.77% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)54.95% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.37% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)20.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)53.19% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 36.92%
    Paris Saint-Germain 39.24%
    Draw 23.82%
MarseilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.24%
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 36.92%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.49%
2-3 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 39.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Marseille
Sunday, March 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Marseille
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Villarreal
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Clermont 1-5 Marseille
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-6 PSG
Sunday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Nice
Wednesday, March 13 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: PSG 2-2 Reims
Sunday, March 10 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 PSG
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Monaco 0-0 PSG
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 25 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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