Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
