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ML
Championship | Gameweek 12
Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Den
CC

Millwall
1 - 1
Cardiff

Smith (35')
Woods (72'), Williams (88'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moore (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 35.97%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawCardiff City
35.75%28.28%35.97%
Both teams to score 46.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.72%59.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.32%79.68%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46%31.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07%67.93%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6%31.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23%67.77%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 35.75%
    Cardiff City 35.97%
    Draw 28.27%
MillwallDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 7.64%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.75%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 9.9%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 11.47%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 6.64%
1-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 35.97%


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