Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Stoke City |
34.34% | 28.32% | 37.34% |
Both teams to score 46.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.51% | 59.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.15% | 79.85% |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.43% | 32.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.89% | 69.11% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% | 30.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% | 66.9% |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 7.43% 2-0 @ 6.28% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.33% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 11.8% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.33% |
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