Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
