Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Eintracht Braunschweig had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Eintracht Braunschweig win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.06) 
