Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Arminia Bielefeld	Draw	Hamburger SV
19.26% ( 0.97)	22.03% ( 0.44)	58.7% ( -1.41)

Both teams to score 53.62% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.41% (

-0.47)

44.58% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.05% (

-0.46)

66.95% (

0.46)

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.98% (

0.78)

37.02% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.19% (

0.77)

73.8% (

-0.77)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.14% (

-0.6)

14.86% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.81% (

-1.16)

43.18% (

1.16)

Score Analysis

Arminia Bielefeld 19.26%

Hamburger SV 58.7%

Draw 22.03%

Arminia Bielefeld	Draw	Hamburger SV
1-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.56% Total : 19.26%	1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.03%	0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.35% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.11) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.64% Total : 58.7%