Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 53.65%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
-0.5) 
0.19) 
