Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Dresden win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Dresden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
