SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 53.2% | 21.95% | 24.85% |
| Both teams to score 61.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.73% | 37.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.52% | 59.49% |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% | 14.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.21% | 41.79% |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% | 27.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.54% | 63.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 6.28% 3-0 @ 4.92% 3-2 @ 4.01% 4-1 @ 3.07% 4-0 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.2% | 1-1 @ 9.85% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 3.94% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-1 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.63% Total : 24.85% |
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