Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.