Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
