Ingolstadt
1 - 3
St Pauli

Eckert (35')
Pick (75'), Bilbija (79'), Schmidt (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kyereh (22'), Burgstaller (37'), Makienok (55')
Hartel (57'), Aremu (65')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between FC Ingolstadt 04 and St Pauli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
FC Ingolstadt 04	Draw	St Pauli
32.03%	25.45%	42.52%

Both teams to score 55.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.41%

48.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.29%

70.71%

FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.39%

28.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.58%

64.42%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.25%

22.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.56%

56.44%

Score Analysis

FC Ingolstadt 04 32.03%

St Pauli 42.52%

Draw 25.45%

FC Ingolstadt 04	Draw	St Pauli
1-0 @ 8.15% 2-1 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.03%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.52%