Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
