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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
2 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue

Medic (30'), Amenyido (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zolinski (17'), Trujic (72')
Trujic (76'), Kuhn (90+3')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 13.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
St PauliDrawErzgebirge Aue
66.6%19.5%13.9%
Both teams to score 50.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.85%43.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.45%65.55%
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.95%12.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.44%37.56%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.15%42.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.83%79.17%
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 66.59%
    Erzgebirge Aue 13.9%
    Draw 19.5%
St PauliDrawErzgebirge Aue
2-0 @ 11.56%
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 8.16%
3-1 @ 6.91%
4-0 @ 4.31%
4-1 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.93%
5-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 1.55%
5-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 66.59%
1-1 @ 9.26%
0-0 @ 5.16%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.5%
0-1 @ 4.38%
1-2 @ 3.92%
0-2 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.17%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 13.9%

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