SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Hamburger SV |
28.23% ( -0.58) | 22.14% ( 0.08) | 49.63% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 64.56% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.76% ( -0.81) | 35.24% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.74% ( -0.91) | 57.26% ( 0.91) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% ( -0.78) | 24.42% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.16% ( -1.12) | 58.84% ( 1.12) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.42% ( -0.12) | 14.58% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.34% ( -0.24) | 42.66% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.23% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 5.97% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.87% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.46% Total : 49.63% |
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