Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
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